Buzz: Will Brent Saun­ders split up Al­ler­gan if he los­es the Resta­sis patent fight?

With its stock trad­ing south of $200 af­ter the big Resta­sis set­back on the patent front, you can hear the grow­ing buzz of an­a­lysts ea­ger­ly spec­u­lat­ing about the chance that Al­ler­gan $AGN may soon be forced to break up the com­pa­ny to de­liv­er for in­vestors.

Brent Saun­ders, CEO Al­ler­gan

As you may have heard, a fed­er­al judge re­cent­ly in­val­i­dat­ed the Resta­sis patents for ob­vi­ous­ness, the kind of slap down that has a high like­li­hood of stand­ing up un­der ap­peal. So with its $1.5 bil­lion fran­chise ther­a­py tee­ter­ing on the brink, it’s easy to see how hiv­ing off Al­ler­gan’s sta­ble and prof­itable aes­thet­ics busi­ness — built around Botox — could work in its fa­vor.

Ron­ny Gal took a look at the num­bers, chat­ted about it with Al­ler­gan CEO Brent Saun­ders, and con­clud­ed that “if 2018 does not go well, split­ting the com­pa­ny will be­come a re­al op­tion.”

To be sure, Saun­ders cau­tioned that the dis­cus­sion is way too pre­ma­ture at this point, but Gal says it seems ob­vi­ous that he’s giv­en it some thought.

The eco­nom­ics of a split cen­ters on the share price. A split may well fo­cus a lot more at­ten­tion on the val­ue of the aes­thet­ics di­vi­sion, giv­ing in­vestors a big pay­back.

Al­ler­gan, mean­while, just out-li­censed a port­fo­lio of small mol­e­cules to Syn­dax af­ter a long run­ning deal spree in which it ab­sorbed a pipeline of new ex­per­i­men­tal prod­ucts, so the phar­ma side of the busi­ness with the pipeline has a good shot at stand­ing on its own two feet quite well.

I’ll add here that Saun­ders has been a stand­out on the deals front for sev­er­al years now. He cre­at­ed Al­ler­gan in a se­ries of ac­qui­si­tions, sell­ing off the gener­ics busi­ness to Te­va at just the right time. While he was de­nied a chance at com­plet­ing a merg­er with Pfiz­er, he’s a rest­less wheel­er-and-deal­er at heart. And if a strate­gic split at the right time makes sense, he won’t be sen­ti­men­tal about it.

It hasn’t helped Saun­ders that the patent rul­ing came with a se­vere dress­ing down from the judge on the com­pa­ny’s deal with the Saint Reg­is Mo­hawk Tribe for “rent­ing” its sov­er­eign im­mu­ni­ty. That deal, pay­ing the tribe to hold the patents and then leas­ing back the rights, has trig­gered a tem­pest in Wash­ing­ton DC, where it’s very much open sea­son on any phar­ma com­pa­nies that look like they’re try­ing to pro­tect high brand­ed drug prices at the ex­pense of their con­stituents.

Phar­ma is in the busi­ness of do­ing good, pro­vid­ed it can make a con­sid­er­able amount of mon­ey in the process. And Al­ler­gan has the same pres­sure to per­form on the rev­enue and prof­it side of the busi­ness as any­one else sell­ing a prod­uct. They can just ex­pect to get held to a dif­fer­ent stan­dard for how they go about it.

This dis­cus­sion about split­ting Al­ler­gan is just start­ing. But an­a­lysts can’t spec­u­late of­ten enough about a big po­ten­tial break up. So ex­pect to hear a lot more about this in the months to come.

It’s fi­nal­ly over: Bio­gen, Ei­sai scrap big Alzheimer’s PhI­I­Is af­ter a pre­dictable BACE cat­a­stro­phe rais­es safe­ty fears

Months after analysts and investors called on Biogen and Eisai to scrap their BACE drug for Alzheimer’s and move on in the wake of a string of late-stage failures and rising safety fears, the partners have called it quits. And they said they were dropping the drug — elenbecestat — after the independent monitoring board raised concerns about…safety.

We don’t know exactly what researchers found in this latest catastrophe, but the companies noted in their release that investigators had determined that the drug was flunking the risk/benefit analysis.

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Deborah Dunsire. Lundbeck

Deb­o­rah Dun­sire is pay­ing $2B for a chance to leap di­rect­ly in­to a block­buster show­down with a few of the world's biggest phar­ma gi­ants

A year after taking the reins as CEO of Lundbeck, Deborah Dunsire is making a bold bid to beef up the Danish biotech’s portfolio of drugs in what will likely be a direct leap into an intense rivalry with a group of giants now carving up a growing market for new migraine drugs.

Bright and early European time the company announced that it will pay up to about $2 billion to buy Alder, a little biotech that is far along the path in developing a quarterly IV formulation for a CGRP drug aimed at cutting back the number of crippling migraines patients experience each month.

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Lisa M. DeAngelis, MSKCC

MSK picks brain can­cer ex­pert Lisa DeAn­ge­lis as its next CMO — fol­low­ing José Basel­ga’s con­tro­ver­sial ex­it

It’s official. Memorial Sloan Kettering has picked a brain cancer expert as its new physician-in-chief and CMO, replacing José Baselga, who left under a cloud after being singled out by The New York Times and ProPublica for failing to properly air his lucrative industry ties.

His replacement, who now will be in charge of MSK’s cutting-edge research work as well as the cancer care delivered by hundreds of practitioners, is Lisa M. DeAngelis. DeAngelis had been chair of the neurology department and co-founder of MSK’s brain tumor center and was moved in to the acting CMO role in the wake of Baselga’s departure.

Penn team adapts CAR-T tech, reengi­neer­ing mouse cells to treat car­diac fi­bro­sis

After establishing itself as one of the pioneer research centers in the world for CAR-T cancer therapies, creating new attack vehicles to eradicate cancer cells, a team at Penn Medicine has begun the tricky transition of using the basic technology for heart repair work.

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Tal Zaks. Moderna

The mR­NA uni­corn Mod­er­na has more ear­ly-stage hu­man da­ta it wants to show off — reach­ing new peaks in prov­ing the po­ten­tial

The whole messenger RNA field has attracted billions of dollars in public and private investor cash gambled on the prospect of getting in on the ground floor. And this morning Boston-based Moderna, one of the leaders in the field, wants to show off a few more of the cards it has to play to prove to you that they’re really in the game.

The whole hand, of course, has yet to be dealt. And there’s no telling who gets to walk with a share of the pot. But any cards on display at this point — especially after being accused of keeping its deck under lock and key — will attract plenty of attention from some very wary, and wired, observers.

“In terms of the complexity and unmet need,” says Tal Zaks, the chief medical officer, “this is peak for what we’ve accomplished.”

Moderna has two Phase I studies it wants to talk about now.

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It's not per­fect, but it's a good start: FDA pan­elists large­ly en­dorse Aim­mune's peanut al­ler­gy ther­a­py

Two days after a fairly benign review from FDA staff, an independent panel of experts largely endorsed the efficacy and safety of Aimmune’s peanut allergy therapy, laying the groundwork for approval with a risk evaluation and mitigation strategy (REMS).

Traditionally, peanut allergies are managed by avoidance, but the threat of accidental exposure cannot be nullified. Some allergists have devised a way to dose patients off-label with peanut protein derived from supermarket products to wean them off their allergies. But the idea behind Aimmune’s product was to standardize the peanut protein, and track the process of desensitization — so when accidental exposure in the real world invariably occurs, patients are less likely to experience a life-threatening allergic reaction.

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Rit­ter bombs fi­nal PhI­II for sole lac­tose in­tol­er­ance drug — shares plum­met

More than two years ago Ritter Pharmaceuticals managed to find enough silver lining in its Phase IIb/III study — after missing the top-line mark — to propel its lactose intolerance toward a confirmatory trial. But as it turned out, the enthusiasm only set the biotech and its investors up to be sorely disappointed.

This time around there’s little left to salvage. Not only did RP-G28 fail to beat placebo in reducing lactose intolerance symptoms, patients in the treatment group actually averaged a smaller improvement. On a composite score measuring symptoms like abdominal pain, cramping, bloating and gas, patients given the drug had a mean reduction of 3.159 while the placebo cohort saw a 3.420 drop on average (one-sided p-value = 0.0106).

Ear­ly snap­shot of Ad­verum's eye gene ther­a­py sparks con­cern about vi­sion loss

An early-stage update on Adverum Biotechnologies’ intravitreal gene therapy has triggered investor concern, after patients with wet age-related macular degeneration (AMD) saw their vision deteriorate, despite signs that the treatment is improving retinal anatomy.

Adverum, on Wednesday, unveiled 24-week data from the OPTIC trial of its experimental therapy, ADVM-022, in six patients who have been administered with one dose of the therapy. On average, patients in the trial had severe disease with an average of 6.2 anti-VEGF injections in the eight months prior to screening and an average annualized injection frequency of 9.3 injections.

Alex Ar­faei trades his an­a­lyst's post for a new role as biotech VC; Sanofi vet heads to Vi­for

Too often, Alex Arfaei arrived too late. 

An analyst at BMO Capital Markets, he’d meet with biotech or pharmaceutical heads for their IPO or secondary funding and his brain, trained on a biology degree and six years at Merck and Endo, would spring with questions: Why this biomarker? Why this design? Why not this endpoint? Not that he could do anything about it. These execs were coming for clinical money; their decisions had been made and finalized long ago.