Keytru­da/epaca­do­stat com­bo crash­es in PhI­II melanoma study, rais­ing ques­tions about the fu­ture of IDO for In­cyte

A close­ly-watched Phase III study com­bin­ing Mer­ck’s PD-1 star Keytru­da with In­cyte’s IDO1 drug epaca­do­stat for metasta­t­ic melanoma has failed, cast­ing a pall over the fu­ture of this com­bi­na­tion ap­proach.

Ab­sent a sig­nif­i­cant im­prove­ment in pro­gres­sion-free sur­vival, as well as the like­ly fail­ure of the drug com­bi­na­tion to ex­tend over­all sur­vival, the in­ves­ti­ga­tors are halt­ing the study. In­cyte stuck with the top-line re­sults in their re­lease, promis­ing to roll out the full da­ta set lat­er. And they made it clear in a call with an­a­lysts this morn­ing that the ECHO-301 study fail­ure “has a neg­a­tive im­pact on the prob­a­bil­i­ty of suc­cess of the oth­er (com­bi­na­tion) stud­ies” — send­ing a shock wave through the I/O field.

In­cyte’s shares plunged 23% on the news, wip­ing out more than $3.5 bil­lion in mar­ket cap. The im­pli­ca­tions for oth­er IDO1 drugs al­so dam­aged oth­er com­pa­nies in the field, in­clud­ing NewLink $NLNK, down 44%, as well as Bris­tol-My­ers Squibb $BMY down 2.6%.

Steven Stein

Mer­ck is one of a slate of bio­phar­ma com­pa­nies to com­bine their check­points with In­cyte’s IDO drug, look­ing to im­prove pa­tients chances for liv­ing longer with can­cer. The fail­ure of this first late-stage test, af­ter stok­ing hopes for some ma­jor ad­vances, now leaves In­cyte’s drug $IN­CY in a pre­car­i­ous po­si­tion, cre­at­ing a cri­sis for CEO Hervé Hop­penot.

Epaca­do­stat was num­ber 3 on Eval­u­ate Phar­ma’s top 10 list of 2018 launch­es, with close to $2 bil­lion in pro­ject­ed peak sales es­ti­mates. And UBS an­a­lysts gave this study a 100% chance of suc­cess, not­ing the high ex­pec­ta­tions — and hype — fo­cused on this drug.

In­ves­ti­ga­tors tracked a haz­ard ra­tio of 1.00, which “leaves no doubt that in this study… the com­pound didn’t per­form,” said Steven Stein, the chief med­ical of­fi­cer, in the call. And there was no pos­i­tive glim­mer of hope seen in any sub­group analy­sis. “Giv­en those haz­ard ra­tios it is go­ing to be dif­fi­cult to dis­cern a sub­group with suf­fi­cient ef­fect.”

The fail­ure of the study al­so rais­es the chances that oth­er tri­als in the pro­gram may need to be ad­just­ed, he added, with pos­si­ble sta­tis­ti­cal and bio­mark­er mod­i­fi­ca­tions.

An­a­lysts had been en­cour­aged last sum­mer with the lat­est look at da­ta from a sin­gle-arm melanoma study, mak­ing this one of the most an­tic­i­pat­ed stud­ies of 2018. In­cyte faces a dif­fi­cult task now in re­build­ing hopes for a block­buster fu­ture as the field awaits a long string of read outs from com­bi­na­tion tri­als.

An­tic­i­pat­ing some big re­turns, a whole host of play­ers has dived in­to IDO. A re­cent study from the Can­cer Re­search In­sti­tute found that there were 18 IDOs in the pipeline. Epaca­do­stat was the most ad­vanced of them all, but there have been a num­ber of set­backs, in­clud­ing a pro­gram pur­sued by Genen­tech, which the com­pa­ny aban­doned af­ter see­ing weak re­sults. And a grow­ing line­up of fail­ures will boost fears that this is the wrong tar­get.

That woe­ful feel­ing didn’t help mat­ters at Bris­tol-My­ers, which has one of the most ad­vanced IDOs in the clin­ic af­ter In­cyte’s pro­gram. Bris­tol-My­ers paid $1.25 bil­lion to ob­tain their drug in the Flexus buy­out, which was im­pli­cat­ed in a suit In­cyte filed claim­ing that a for­mer staffer had stolen trade se­crets on their drug, hand­ing them off to Flexus. Sev­er­al an­a­lysts have out­lined rea­sons why they think that Bris­tol-My­ers has the bet­ter of the two drugs.

With the alarm bells ring­ing loud­ly all day Fri­day, NewLink re­spond­ed by putting out a re­lease as­sert­ing that its drug in­dox­i­mod had a “dif­fer­en­ti­at­ed mech­a­nism of ac­tion.” The biotech al­so said that it would do a re­view of its pro­grams in light of the set­back at In­cyte.

The failed study will help gain “un­der­stand­ing of the role of IDO1 in­hi­bi­tion in com­bi­na­tion with PD-1 an­tag­o­nists, and may in­form our broad­er epaca­do­stat clin­i­cal de­vel­op­ment pro­gram,” said Steven Stein, chief med­ical of­fi­cer, In­cyte. “We re­main ded­i­cat­ed to trans­form­ing the treat­ment of can­cer and will con­tin­ue to ex­plore how IDO1 in­hi­bi­tion and oth­er nov­el mech­a­nisms can po­ten­tial­ly im­prove out­comes for pa­tients in need.”


Im­age: Hervé Hop­penot, In­cyte CEO at an End­points News event, Jan­u­ary 2018. END­POINTS NEWS

RWE chal­lenges for to­day's bio­phar­ma

The rapid development of technology — and the resulting avalanche of data — are catalysts for significant change in the biopharmaceutical industry. This translates into urgent pressures for today’s biopharma, including a need to quickly and affordably develop products with proven therapeutic efficacy and value. This urgency is expedited by the growth of value-based contracting, where access to reimbursement and profit depends on these abilities.

UP­DAT­ED: In a stun­ning turn­around, Bio­gen says that ad­u­canum­ab does work for Alzheimer's — but da­ta min­ing in­cites con­tro­ver­sy and ques­tions

Biogen has confounded the biotech world one more time.

In a stunning about-face, the company and its partners at Eisai say that a new analysis of a larger dataset on aducanumab has restored its faith in the drug as a game-changer for Alzheimer’s and, after talking it over with the FDA, they’ll now be filing for an approval of a drug that had been given up for dead.

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Acor­da's Ron Co­hen brings the ax back out as new drug sales on­ly trick­le in while cash cow is led to the slaugh­ter

With its new drug earning meager sums and its one-time cash cow reduced to a bony shadow of its former self, Acorda Therapeutics today is rolling out a new restructuring aimed at slashing the staff and cutting costs to get through the hard times ahead.

The biotech is chopping a quarter of its staff today, carving back R&D as well as SG&A expenses. And CEO Ron Cohen is cutting deep.

Under the new austerity budget, Acorda’s R&D expenses for the full year 2019 are expected to be $55 – $60 million, reduced from $70 – $80 million. SG&A expenses for the full year 2019 are expected to be $185 – $190 million, reduced from $200 – $210 million. R&D expenses for the full year 2020 are expected to be $20 – $25 million and SG&A
expenses for the full year 2020 are expected to be $160 – $165 million.

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As shares suf­fer from a lin­ger­ing slump, a bruised Alk­er­mes slash­es 160 jobs in R&D re­struc­tur­ing

With its share price in a deep slump after suffering through a regulatory debacle over their depression drug ALKS 5461, Alkermes CEO Richard Pops is taking the ax to its R&D organization in a restructuring aimed at cutting costs ahead of its next attempt at a rollout in a tough field.

Richard Pops, Endpoints via Youtube

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RAPT Ther­a­peu­tics re­turns to Wall Street to re­vive IPO bid

On May 24, FLX Bio, a small cancer and inflammation biotech with backing from GV, changed its name to RAPT Therapeutics and filed confidentially for an IPO. On July 5th, they filed to raise up to $86 million. On July 22, they announced the IPO with a $75 million goal.  And on August 1, they abruptly and without explanation called it all off.

Now, without explanation, they’re reviving the bid, filing again for a $75 million IPO, this time with a new bookrunner and a new drug candidate in the clinic. The terms will be the same: 5 million shares at $14-$16 per share. It would give them a diluted market value of $351 million.

EY vet set to re­place re­tir­ing Am­gen CFO Meline

Ahead of its third-quarter results next week, Amgen on Tuesday disclosed the planned retirement of David Meline, who has served as the company’s chief financial officer since 2014.

Meline will be replaced by Ernst & Young vet, Peter Griffith, as CFO come January 1, 2020 — but until then Griffith will serve as executive vice president, finance.

“Over the last 5 years at Amgen, Meline instituted many major changes that led to operational efficiencies and margin expansion while successfully returning cash to shareholders. Now that Amgen is on solid footing, it was a good time to step away,” Cowen’s Yaron Werber wrote in a note. “We do not anticipate any major changes to strategy or operations immediately due to this transition as Amgen is on solid footing.”

Eli Lil­ly’s USA, di­a­betes chief En­rique Con­ter­no is head­ing out af­ter 27 years, and he’s be­ing re­placed by a com­pa­ny in­sid­er

Close to 3 years after Eli Lilly CEO Dave Ricks added the title of president of the US operations to Enrique Conterno’s resume, which included his helmsmanship of the diabetes franchise, the Peruvian born exec is set to retire after a 27-year run at the pharma giant.

Lilly put out the news just as it was posting Q3 results, with a mix of upbeat and downbeat results in the latest set of numbers from Lilly.
Conterno — a grizzled, deeply experienced and sometimes gruff veteran of the pharma world — was a high-profile figure at Lilly, stepping up to expanded duties as the company was forced to deal with intense pricing pressure on the diabetes side of the business. He had replaced outgoing US president Alex Azar, who later popped up as head of Health and Human Services in the Trump administration.
As head of the diabetes unit, Conterno had to deal with an extraordinarily competitive field as payers demanded bigger discounts. Trulicity’s success helped generate new revenue for the company, but Q3’s miss on revenue had a lot to do with the need for discounting the drug ahead of Novo Nordisk’s rival therapy, Rybelsus, which was priced on the wholesale level at an almost identical rate.

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No­var­tis hands off $80M in cash to part­ner up with a top biotech play­er in the fi­bro­sis sec­tor

Never underestimate the power of a good showing at a scientific conference.
In a presentation late last year, the researchers at Pliant Therapeutics launched a series of discussions about the preclinical data they were pulling together around their work on their small-molecule integrin inhibitor aimed at transforming growth factor beta, or TGF-β, a key pathway involved in fibrosis.
And they got some serious attention for the work.
“We got interest from pharma partners and at the end Novartis basically made it,” says Pliant CEO Bernard Coulie.

Is there a recipe for M&A suc­cess? The best and worst buy­out deals in the past decade of­fer some keys to suc­cess — and fail­ure

It’s not easy achieving a solid win in M&A in this industry. But if you follow a few simple guidelines, you may be able to increase your odds of success.
Geoffrey Porges and the team at SVB Leerink went about the “notoriously difficult” task of scoring the biopharma buyout of 2009 to 2019. Sizing up current and expected revenue from the products that were gained, they came up with the 5 winners:
Merck/Schering Plough
Bristol/Medarex
Gilead/Pharmasset
Sanofi/Genzyme
AstraZeneca/Acerta
It says a lot about the field that it’s much easier sorting out the 5 worst deals, though there’s also a lot more competition for that title, notes Porges. As picked by the analysts:
J&J/Actelion
Merck/Cubist
Alexion/Synageva
AbbVie/Stemcentrx
Gilead/Kite

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