Pfizer CEO Albert Bourla (Drew Angerer/Getty Images)

Pfiz­er is on the verge of claim­ing a multi­bil­lion-dol­lar first-mover ad­van­tage with their Covid-19 vac­cine — an­a­lyst

From the be­gin­ning, Pfiz­er CEO Al­bert Bourla es­chewed gov­ern­ment fund­ing for his Covid-19 vac­cine work with BioN­Tech, will­ing to take all the $2 bil­lion-plus risk of a light­ning-fast de­vel­op­ment cam­paign in ex­change for all the re­wards that could fall its way with suc­cess. And now that the phar­ma gi­ant has seized a sol­id lead in the race to the mar­ket, those re­wards loom large.

SVB Leerink’s Ge­off Porges has been run­ning the num­bers on Pfiz­er’s vac­cine, the mR­NA BNT162b2 pro­gram that the Ger­man biotech part­nered on. And he sees a $3.5 bil­lion peak in wind­fall rev­enue next year alone. Even af­ter the pan­dem­ic is brought to heel, though, Porges sees a con­tin­u­ing block­buster role for this vac­cine as peo­ple around the world look to guard against a new, thor­ough­ly en­dem­ic virus that will pose a per­ma­nent threat.

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