As­traZeneca’s shares spike on a sur­prise coup in PhI­II lung can­cer da­ta

Sean Bo­hen, As­traZeneca

As­traZeneca $AZN shares popped more than 7% this morn­ing on pos­i­tive Phase III pro­gres­sion-free sur­vival da­ta for Imfinzi (dur­val­um­ab) in treat­ing ad­vanced, in­op­er­a­ble and chemo-re­sis­tant non-small cell lung can­cer.

An­a­lysts did a quick dou­ble take and im­me­di­ate­ly cheered it as a re­mark­able – and com­plete­ly un­ex­pect­ed – hit.

That’s the right tar­get for As­traZeneca, which re­cent­ly won its first ap­proval for the world’s fifth check­point in­hibitor. On Wednes­day Mer­ck moved to the front of that field with an ap­proval to use a com­bi­na­tion of Keytru­da with chemo as a first-line ther­a­py on NSCLC, putting it on top of the heap of ri­vals look­ing to carve out a big piece of the block­buster mar­ket.

This As­traZeneca tri­al wasn’t the big study an­a­lysts have been wait­ing for.

As­traZeneca has been bet­ting heav­i­ly on MYS­TIC, us­ing a com­bi­na­tion of dur­val­um­ab and the CT­LA-4 drug treme­li­mum­ab for NSCLC. That would cre­ate some ma­jor mar­ket op­por­tu­ni­ties for the phar­ma gi­ant, which has been mak­ing a rep for it­self in the on­col­o­gy field in re­cent years — even as it’s plagued by prat­falls and dis­ap­point­ments in oth­er ar­eas of R&D.

As­traZeneca bad­ly needs every shred of good news that it can find, and there were some high fives in the or­ga­ni­za­tion on this pos­i­tive read­out, which helps the com­pa­ny dis­tin­guish it­self in the most in­tense­ly com­pet­i­tive field in bio­phar­ma.

Sea­mus Fer­nan­dez, Leerink

Sea­mus Fer­nan­dez at Leerink gave it a big thumbs up, not­ing:

This news comes as an ear­ly up­side sur­prise, as we do not cur­rent­ly have fore­casts for this in­di­ca­tion in our mod­el nor do we be­lieve this op­por­tu­ni­ty is wide­ly ap­pre­ci­at­ed by in­vestors. Im­por­tant­ly, this puts AZN square­ly in the IO fight in with a unique NSCLC in­di­ca­tion for monother­a­py PD1/PDL1 agents not cur­rent­ly shared by oth­er mem­bers of the class. AZN es­ti­mates that it is at least 2-3 years ahead of oth­er com­peti­tors, and our search­es on­ly un­cov­ered rel­a­tive­ly small sin­gle-arm Ph 2 stud­ies un­der­way for po­ten­tial com­peti­tors.

Oth­er an­a­lysts at Deutsche Bank were al­so im­pressed, of­fer­ing some block­buster num­bers for As­traZeneca on this one in­di­ca­tion.

Look for the da­ta to make the short trip to reg­u­la­tors as As­traZeneca seeks to cap­i­tal­ize on fore­casts that this drug could be worth more than $2 bil­lion a year for the com­pa­ny.

Said R&D chief Sean Bo­hen:

We look for­ward to work­ing with reg­u­la­to­ry au­thor­i­ties around the world to bring Imfinzi to lung can­cer pa­tients as soon as pos­si­ble. Along­side this, we con­tin­ue to ex­plore Imfinzi’s full po­ten­tial as monother­a­py as well as in com­bi­na­tion with treme­li­mum­ab and oth­er med­i­cines in ar­eas of con­tin­ued un­met need across mul­ti­ple types of can­cer.

At a time when the check­point can­cer mar­ket would seem to be ripe for ma­tur­ing, with 5 ap­proved, there’s in­stead been a se­ries of star­tling re­ver­sals and ad­vances. Bris­tol-My­ers Squibb made the move to the lead, then blew it with a bad­ly de­signed Phase III on front­line use. Mer­ck leapfrogged its ri­val and then, just days ago, Roche’s Tecen­triq failed a con­fir­ma­to­ry Phase III in blad­der can­cer, af­ter it had been giv­en an ac­cel­er­at­ed ap­proval.

Big sur­pris­es are be­com­ing the or­der of the day in check­point in­hi­bi­tion, a field worth tens of bil­lions of dol­lars.

The top 10 block­buster drugs in the late-stage pipeline — Eval­u­ate adds 6 new ther­a­pies to heavy-hit­ter list

Vertex comes in for a substantial amount of criticism for its no-holds-barred tactical approach toward wresting the price it wants for its commercial drugs in Europe. But the flip side of that coin is a highly admired R&D and commercial operation that regularly wins kudos from analysts for their ability to engineer greater cash flow from the breakthrough drugs they create.

Both aspects needed for success in this business are on display in the program backing Vertex’s triple for cystic fibrosis. VX-659/VX-445 + Tezacaftor + Ivacaftor — it’s been whittled down to 445 now — was singled out by Evaluate Pharma as the late-stage therapy most likely to win the crown for drug sales in 5 years, with a projected peak revenue forecast of $4.3 billion.

The latest annual list, which you can see here in their latest world preview, includes a roster of some of the most closely watched development programs in biopharma. And Evaluate has added 6 must-watch experimental drugs to the top 10 as drugs fail or go on to a first approval. With apologies to the list maker, I revamped this to rank the top 10 by projected 2024 sales, instead of Evaluate's net present value rankings.

It's how we roll at Endpoints News.

Here is a quick summary of the rest of the top 10:

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John Reed at JPM 2019. Jeff Rumans for Endpoints News

Sanofi's John Reed con­tin­ues to re­or­ga­nize R&D, cut­ting 466 jobs while boost­ing can­cer, gene ther­a­py re­search

The R&D reorganization inside Sanofi is continuing, more than a year after the pharma giant brought in John Reed to head the research arm of the Paris-based company.
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How small- to mid-sized biotechs can adopt pa­tient cen­tric­i­ty in their on­col­o­gy tri­als

By Lucy Clos­sick Thom­son, Se­nior Di­rec­tor of On­col­o­gy Pro­ject Man­age­ment, Icon

Clin­i­cal tri­als in on­col­o­gy can be cost­ly and chal­leng­ing to man­age. One fac­tor that could re­duce costs and re­duce bar­ri­ers is har­ness­ing the pa­tient voice in tri­al de­sign to help ac­cel­er­ate pa­tient en­roll­ment. Now is the time to adopt pa­tient-cen­tric strate­gies that not on­ly fo­cus on pa­tient needs, but al­so can main­tain cost ef­fi­cien­cy.

In­vestor day prep at Mer­ck in­cludes a new strat­e­gy to pick up the pace on M&A — re­port

Mer­ck’s re­cent deals to buy up two bolt-on biotechs — Ti­los and Pelo­ton — weren’t an aber­ra­tion. In­stead, both ac­qui­si­tions mark a new strat­e­gy to beef up its dom­i­nant can­cer drug op­er­a­tions cen­tered on Keytru­da while look­ing to ad­dress grow­ing con­cerns that too many of its eggs are in the one I/O bas­ket for their PD-1 pro­gram. And Mer­ck is go­ing af­ter more small- and mid-sized buy­outs to calm those fears.

John Chiminski, Catalent CEO - File Photo

'It's a growth play': Catal­ent ac­quires Bris­tol-My­er­s' Eu­ro­pean launch pad, ex­pand­ing glob­al CD­MO ops

Catalent is staying on the growth track.

Just two months after committing $1.2 billion to pick up Paragon and take a deep dive into the sizzling hot gene therapy manufacturing sector, the CDMO is bouncing right back with a deal to buy out Bristol-Myers’ central launchpad for new therapies in Europe, acquiring a complex in Anagni, Italy, southwest of Rome, that will significantly expand its capacity on the continent.

There are no terms being offered, but this is no small deal. The Anagni campus employs some 700 staffers, and Catalent is planning to go right in — once the deal closes late this year — with a blueprint to build up the operations further as they expand on oral solid, biologics, and sterile product manufacturing and packaging.

This is an uncommon deal, Catalent CEO John Chiminski tells me. But it offers a shortcut for rapid growth that cuts years out of developing a green fields project. That’s time Catalent doesn’t have as the industry undergoes unprecedented expansion around the world.

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Right back at you, Pfiz­er: BeiGene and a Pfiz­er spin­out launch a new­co to de­vel­op a MEK/BRAF in­hibitor that could ri­val $11.4B com­bo

A day af­ter Pfiz­er bought Ar­ray and its ap­proved can­cer com­bo, BeiGene and Pfiz­er spin­out Spring­Works have part­nered in launch­ing a new biotech that has an eye on the very same mar­ket the phar­ma gi­ant just paid bil­lions for. And they’re plan­ning on us­ing an ex-Pfiz­er drug to do it.

In a nut­shell, Chi­na’s BeiGene is toss­ing in a pre­clin­i­cal BRAF in­hibitor — BGB-3245, which cov­ers both V600 and non-V600 BRAF mu­ta­tions — for a big stake in a new, joint­ly con­trolled biotech called Map­Kure with Bain-backed Spring­Works.

Sanofi aligns it­self with Google to stream­line drug de­vel­op­ment

Tech­nol­o­gy is bleed­ing in­to health­care, and big phar­ma is rid­ing the wave. Sanofi $SNY ap­point­ed its first chief dig­i­tal of­fi­cer this Feb­ru­ary, fol­low­ing the foot­steps of its peers. By May, the French drug­mak­er and some of its big phar­ma com­pa­tri­ots joined forces with Google par­ent Al­pha­bet’s Ver­i­ly unit to aug­ment clin­i­cal tri­al re­search. On Tues­day, the Parisian com­pa­ny tied up with Google to ac­cess its cloud com­put­ing and ar­ti­fi­cial in­tel­li­gence tech to spur the de­vel­op­ment of new ther­a­pies.

UP­DAT­ED: Roche fields first ap­proval for Ro­z­lytrek in the run-up to a show­down with Bay­er, Pfiz­er

While it’s wait­ing to hear back from FDA reg­u­la­tors, Roche is be­gin­ning the vic­to­ry lap for en­trec­tinib in Japan.

Roche is giv­ing Bay­er a run for their mon­ey with this tu­mor-ag­nos­tic drug, which tar­gets NTRK gene fu­sions. Now dubbed Ro­z­lytrek, it’s sanc­tioned to treat adult and pe­di­atric pa­tients in Japan with neu­rotroph­ic ty­ro­sine re­cep­tor ki­nase fu­sion-pos­i­tive, ad­vanced re­cur­rent sol­id tu­mors.

Arc­turus ex­pands col­lab­o­ra­tion, adding $30M cash; Ku­ra shoots for $100M raise

→  Rare dis­ease play­er Ul­tragenyx $RARE is ex­pand­ing its al­liance with Arc­turus $ARCT, pay­ing $24 mil­lion for eq­ui­ty and an­oth­er $6 mil­lion in an up­front as the two part­ners ex­pand their col­lab­o­ra­tion to in­clude up to 12 tar­gets. “This ex­pand­ed col­lab­o­ra­tion fur­ther so­lid­i­fies our mR­NA plat­form by adding ad­di­tion­al tar­gets and ex­pand­ing our abil­i­ty to po­ten­tial­ly treat more dis­eases,” said Emil Kakkis, the CEO at Ul­tragenyx. “We are pleased with the progress of our on­go­ing col­lab­o­ra­tion. Our most ad­vanced mR­NA pro­gram, UX053 for the treat­ment of Glyco­gen Stor­age Dis­ease Type III, is ex­pect­ed to move in­to the clin­ic next year, and we look for­ward to fur­ther build­ing up­on the ini­tial suc­cess of this part­ner­ship.”