Sahm Ad­ran­gi’s Ker­ris­dale knifes Pro­teosta­sis’ 'break­through' cys­tic fi­bro­sis da­ta in a bru­tal biotech short at­tack

Sahm Ad­ran­gi and his SWAT team at Ker­ris­dale Cap­i­tal have put an­oth­er biotech in their cross hairs.

The high-pro­file biotech in­vestor — who’s tak­en on a group of biotechs that range from Bavar­i­an Nordic to Prothena with a se­ries of bru­tal short at­tacks — is now ready to call Pro­teosta­sis’ $PTI work on cys­tic fi­bro­sis a bomb in the mak­ing.

“We looked at it,” Ad­ran­gi tells me, “and de­cid­ed to take a clos­er look af­ter it spiked” in the wake of the FDA’s break­through drug des­ig­na­tion.

Reg­u­la­tors put the Cam­bridge, MA-based com­pa­ny on its in­side reg­u­la­to­ry track, promis­ing to pro­vide an open-door ap­proach to help­ing speed it along, af­ter the biotech post­ed da­ta for its CFTR am­pli­fi­er PTI-428, part of a cock­tail it’s been de­vel­op­ing in hopes of cap­i­tal­iz­ing on the mar­ket that Ver­tex has been build­ing for it­self.

The biotech re­port­ed Phase II da­ta demon­strat­ing that their drug was linked with a 5.2% jump in a mea­sure of lung per­for­mance.

Shane Wil­son

In Ker­ris­dale’s view, though, that is non­sense. What re­al­ly hap­pened, Ker­ris­dale an­a­lyst Shane Wil­son claims, is that the tiny place­bo arm in­volv­ing just 4 pa­tients in the study had a sharp, sud­den and un­ex­pect­ed drop in lung per­for­mance dur­ing the 28-day tri­al that cre­at­ed a gap fa­vor­ing the drug. And when you com­pare it with what you would ex­pect for these pa­tients, there should not nor­mal­ly have been any­thing like that gulf be­tween the two small arms of the study.

“If place­bo was flat and the drug was up 1%,” says Wil­son, “no one would think that was good.”

From the re­port:

On av­er­age, we cal­cu­late that the PTI-428 group im­proved by just 2.5%, while the (4-per­son) place­bo group wors­ened by 6.7% – ex­act­ly repli­cat­ing Pro­teosta­sis’s stat­ed place­bo-ad­just­ed rel­a­tive im­prove­ment of 9.2%. In terms of ab­solute changes, we es­ti­mate that the PTI-428 group im­proved on av­er­age by just 1 per­cent­age point, while the place­bo group wors­ened by 4 per­cent­age points.

And that’s not some­thing that can be repli­cat­ed in a larg­er tri­al.

The rest of the da­ta points — like sweat chlo­ride — are ei­ther messy or be­ing ig­nored by Pro­teosta­sis, adds the Ker­ris­dale team.

“They don’t give the ac­tu­al re­sults, which means al­most cer­tain­ly that the re­sults aren’t good; prob­a­bly be­cause they didn’t do any­thing.”

From their re­port:

Giv­en the scarci­ty of CFTR mR­NA and pro­tein even in the air­way ep­ithe­li­um, we doubt that Pro­teosta­sis can re­li­ably mea­sure its fa­vored bio­mark­ers, call­ing in­to ques­tion its fun­da­men­tal un­der­stand­ing of its own drug. In­deed, we find it dif­fi­cult to trust the com­pa­ny’s da­ta, giv­en its ten­den­cy to gloss over po­ten­tial­ly neg­a­tive facts. For in­stance, while a group of par­tial­ly in­de­pen­dent re­searchers have re­cent­ly found that, in one in vit­ro mod­el, PTI-428 failed to in­crease CFTR pro­tein lev­els or func­tion­al­i­ty to a sta­tis­ti­cal­ly sig­nif­i­cant de­gree, ei­ther on its own or when added to stan­dard-of- care drugs, Pro­teosta­sis man­age­ment has ig­nored the un­pleas­ant re­sults, even though three Pro­teosta­sis em­ploy­ees were co-au­thors on the pa­per.

With­out a lead drug or a pipeline, Ker­ris­dale says the com­pa­ny can on­ly be worth cash, a 70% to 90% drop in val­ue.

There is lit­tle val­ue in PTI’s mis­lead­ing­ly spun da­ta, bizarrely noisy bio­mark­ers, and se­lec­tive­ly dis­closed re­sults. Alas, it’s far eas­i­er to in­flate weak da­ta than it is to in­flate ail­ing lungs.

The short at­tack ar­rives just hours af­ter Pro­teosta­sis laid out plans to take ad­van­tage of its swelled share price by sell­ing 9 mil­lion shares, with Leerink and RBC Cap­i­tal act­ing as joint book run­ners. Its shares were down 13% in pre-mar­ket trad­ing and then kept slid­ing af­ter the Ker­ris­dale re­port hit. By mid-morn­ing shares were down 20%.

Neil Wood­ford

While quite a few short at­tacks tend to arise from anony­mous re­ports or by way of a Tro­jan horse, Ker­ris­dale likes to do their work pub­licly and up close. They re­cent­ly earned some con­sid­er­able crit­i­cism from in­vestor Neil Wood­ford, who said:

Their job is to scare the mar­ket when the mar­ket is pre­pared to be scared. It doesn’t mat­ter if what they said about Al­lied Minds and Prothena is to­tal­ly in­ac­cu­rate and un­sub­stan­ti­at­ed. What mat­ters is Bloomberg and oth­ers giv­ing them the oxy­gen of pub­lic­i­ty and hey presto there is a self-ful­filled prophe­cy and the share price falls.

Prothena’s da­ta are com­ing up in the sec­ond quar­ter.


Sahm Ad­ran­gi. KER­RIS­DALE CAP­I­TAL

Scoop: Boehringer qui­et­ly shut­ters a PhII for one of its top drugs — now un­der re­view

Boehringer Ingelheim has quietly shut down a small Phase II study for one of its lead drugs.

The private pharma player confirmed to Endpoints News that it had shuttered a study testing spesolimab as a therapy for Crohn’s patients suffering from bowel obstructions.

A spokesperson for the company tells Endpoints:

Taking into consideration the current therapeutic landscape and ongoing clinical development programs, Boehringer Ingelheim decided to discontinue our program in Crohn’s disease. It is important to note that this decision is not based on any safety findings in the clinical trials.

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Alex­ion puts €65M for­ward to strength­en its po­si­tion on the Emer­ald Isle

Ireland has been on a roll in 2022, with several large pharma companies announcing multimillion-euro projects. Now AstraZeneca’s rare disease outfit Alexion is looking to get in on the action.

Alexion on Friday announced a €65 million ($68.8 million) investment in new and enhanced capabilities across two sites in the country, including at College Park in the Dublin suburb of Blanchardstown and the Monksland Industrial Park in the central Irish town of Athlone, according to the Industrial Development Agency of Ireland.

Fed­er­al judge de­nies Bris­tol My­er­s' at­tempt to avoid Cel­gene share­hold­er law­suit

Some Celgene shareholders aren’t happy with how Bristol Myers Squibb’s takeover went down.

On Friday, a New York federal judge ruled that they have a case against the pharma giant, denying a request to dismiss allegations that it purposely slow-rolled Breyanzi’s approval to avoid paying out $6.4 billion in contingent value rights (CVR).

When Bristol Myers put down $74 billion to scoop up Celgene back in 2019, liso-cel — the CAR-T lymphoma treatment now marketed as Breyanzi — was supposedly one of the centerpieces of the deal. After going back and forth on negotiations for about six months, BMS put $6.4 billion into a CVR agreement that required an FDA approval for Zeposia, Breyanzi and Abecma, each by an established date.

Am­gen takes next step with its Chi­na am­bi­tions, out-li­cens­ing drugs to Fo­s­un Phar­ma

In a bid to increase its market share in China, Amgen has agreed to a partnership with a Shanghai biotech — a collaboration and out-licensing agreement for two of its drugs.

Amgen and Fosun Pharma announced a deal Monday in a bid to increase Amgen’s presence in the country. The stated goal so far is to commercialize Amgen’s blockbuster psoriasis drug Otezla alongside Parsabiv, a drug for secondary hyperparathyroidism in adults with chronic kidney disease and on a specific type of dialysis.

As court case looms, Bris­tol My­ers touts la­bel ex­pan­sion for Breyanzi

As Bristol Myers Squibb braces for a court battle over a costly delay — at least for Celgene shareholders — for its CAR-T lymphoma treatment Breyanzi, the pharma giant is touting a label expansion in the second-line setting.

Breyanzi, also known as liso-cel, snagged a win on Friday in adults with large B-cell lymphoma (LBCL) who: don’t respond to chemotherapy, or relapse within 12 months; don’t respond or relapse after 12 months; or are not eligible for hematopoietic stem cell transplant after chemo due to their age or comorbidities.

State bat­tles over mifepri­s­tone ac­cess could tie the FDA to any post-Roe cross­roads

As more than a dozen states are now readying so-called “trigger” laws to kick into effect immediate abortion bans following the overturning of Roe v. Wade on Friday, these laws, in the works for more than a decade in some states, will likely kick off even more legal battles as states seek to restrict the use of prescription drug-based abortions.

Since Friday’s SCOTUS opinion to overturn Americans’ constitutional right to an abortion after almost 50 years, reproductive rights lawyers at Planned Parenthood and other organizations have already challenged these trigger laws in Utah and Louisiana. According to the Guttmacher Institute, other states with trigger laws that could take effect include Arkansas, Idaho, Kentucky, Mississippi, Missouri, North Dakota, Oklahoma, South Dakota, Tennessee, Texas, and Wyoming.

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Deborah Dunsire, Lundbeck CEO

Af­ter a 5-year re­peat PhI­II so­journ, Lund­beck and Ot­su­ka say they're fi­nal­ly ready to pur­sue OK to use Rex­ul­ti against Alzheimer's ag­i­ta­tion

Five years after Lundbeck and their longtime collaborators at Otsuka turned up a mixed set of Phase III data for Rexulti as a treatment for Alzheimer’s dementia-related agitation, they’ve come through with a new pivotal trial success they believe will finally put them on the road to an approval at the FDA. And if they’re right, some analysts believe they’re a short step away from adding more than $500 million in annual sales for the drug, already approved in depression and schizophrenia.

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A Mer­ck part­ner is sucked in­to the fi­nan­cial quag­mire as key lender calls in a note

Another biotech standing on shaky financial legs has fallen victim to the bears.

Merck partner 4D Pharma has reported that a key lender, Oxford Finance, shoved the UK company into administration after calling in a $14 million loan they couldn’t immediately make good on. Trading in their stock was halted with a market cap that had fallen to a mere £30 million.

“Despite the very difficult prevailing market conditions,” 4D reported on Friday, the biotech had been making progress on finding some new financing and turned to Oxford with an alternative late on Thursday and then again Friday morning.

Members of the G7 from left to right: Prime Minister of Italy Mario Draghi, European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen, President Joe Biden, German Chancellor Olaf Scholz, British Prime Minister Boris Johnson, Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau, Prime Minister of Japan Fumio Kishida, French President Emmanuel Macron and European Council President Charles Michel (AP Photo/Susan Walsh)

Biden and G7 na­tions of­fer funds for vac­cine and med­ical prod­uct man­u­fac­tur­ing project in Sene­gal

Amidst recently broader vaccine manufacturing initiatives from the EU and European companies, the G7 summit in the mountains of Bavaria has brought about some positive news for closing vaccine and medical product manufacturing gaps around the globe.

According to a statement from the White House, the G7 leaders have formally launched the partnership for global infrastructure, PGII. The effort will aim to mobilize hundreds of billions of dollars to deliver infrastructure projects in several sectors including the medical and pharmaceutical manufacturing space.