Six top biotech VCs take a look at the lat­est trends, and of­fer their thoughts on 2018

This year has been a rel­a­tive gush­er of VC dol­lars flow­ing in­to biotech com­pa­nies, with gi­ant “mega-deals” pro­pelling the in­dus­try’s record-set­ting year. Top VCs in the field say they’re cau­tious­ly op­ti­mistic that the trend will con­tin­ue next year.

The in­dus­try has cruised past its pre­vi­ous VC fund­ing record of $7.3 bil­lion, which was set back in 2015. This year saw biotechs raise $9.3 bil­lion in 471 deals, ac­cord­ing to Pitch­Book, mak­ing it the best year out of the last sev­en when it comes to vol­ume.

Deal count is run­ning a bit low­er than 2016 and 2015, which saw clos­er to 500 deals. But 2017 was a year of mega-deals, with the third quar­ter alone bring­ing in sev­er­al $100 mil­lion+ rounds. Most re­cent­ly there was ADC Ther­a­peu­tics’ $200 mil­lion round backed by As­traZeneca to push for­ward its next-gen an­ti­body-drug con­ju­gate. And ear­li­er in the quar­ter, Jeff Be­zos, Arch and oth­er in­vestors sunk $151 mil­lion in­to Uni­ty Biotech­nol­o­gy, which is look­ing to make new drugs that can se­lec­tive­ly sweep away senes­cent cells that clut­ter our bod­ies as we age.

All this ac­tiv­i­ty comes short­ly af­ter a some­what tur­bu­lent 2016 — a year when po­lit­i­cal and so­cial rhetoric and in­dus­try un­cer­tain­ty weighed on the sec­tor; when drug ap­provals fell sharply; and when biotech com­pa­nies faced a dwin­dling sup­ply of pub­lic mar­ket cap­i­tal to fund R&D.

Con­sid­er­ing the pip­ing hot IPO mar­ket so far this year and the record-set­ting VC fig­ures, it’s fair to say the in­dus­try took the un­cer­tain­ty rather well.

We asked 6 top ven­ture cap­i­tal­ists in biotech what they thought might hap­pen in 2018. Will ven­ture dol­lars go up, down, or stay flat next year? Why? Read their pre­dic­tions be­low:

Pre­dic­tions

Jer­el Davis

Jer­el Davis, man­ag­ing di­rec­tor at Ver­sant Ven­tures:

We ex­pect that 2018 will con­tin­ue to be a very strong ven­ture fund­ing en­vi­ron­ment with a con­tin­u­a­tion of fund­ing across stages, with large rounds, and in­creased com­mit­ments from new funds and cap­i­tal sources that are not the usu­al biotech sus­pects. This like­ly means ven­ture dol­lars will trend up­wards. Watch­ing pub­lic mar­ket ver­sus pri­vate val­u­a­tions through­out the year will be es­pe­cial­ly im­por­tant to en­sure the pri­vate space does not get ahead of it­self.

Wende Hut­ton

Wende Hut­ton, gen­er­al part­ner at Canaan Part­ners:

Ven­ture-backed fund­ing for bio­phar­ma deals in 2018 will be vig­or­ous and like­ly up from the high lev­els in 2017. An ir­re­sistible sup­ply of top-tier sci­ence and re­peat man­age­ment teams are bub­bling up every­where in the start­up ecosys­tem, which cre­ate at­trac­tive new op­por­tu­ni­ties for in­vest­ment. Ad­di­tion­al­ly, an un­par­al­leled lev­el of re­cent­ly-raised bio­phar­ma-fo­cused funds will need to be de­ployed in a ro­bust fash­ion dur­ing the next year. Canaan looks out and sees a great fund­ing en­vi­ron­ment for 2018.

Jay Lichter

Jay Lichter, man­ag­ing di­rec­tor at Aval­on Ven­tures:

I think that in­vest­ing will re­main ro­bust. There is a lot of cap­i­tal in the sys­tem with some big wins/ac­qui­si­tions and sev­er­al IPOs that pro­vid­ed liq­uid­i­ty for VCs and their in­vestors. I ex­pect the mar­kets to re­main “open” and hot while at times chop­py.

Ab­bie Cel­niker

Ab­bie Cel­niker, part­ner at Third Rock Ven­tures:

At Third Rock, we see the trend of healthy in­vest­ing con­tin­u­ing in 2018.  Con­di­tions in the macro en­vi­ron­ment place biotech in a strong po­si­tion for con­tin­ued val­ue cre­ation. In ad­di­tion, we see a tremen­dous amount of nov­el and ex­cit­ing sci­ence dri­ving both com­pa­ny cre­ation and the ad­vance­ment of new ther­a­pies mov­ing to­ward the clin­ic. Phar­ma and large biotech con­tin­ue to turn to small­er biotechs to en­hance their pipelines, and this sup­ports a very healthy ecosys­tem.

Bruce Booth

Bruce Booth, part­ner at At­las Ven­tures:

Bio­phar­ma ven­ture fund­ing in 2018 will like­ly mod­er­ate from the record-set­ting pace of 2017, but be in the ro­bust range of the last few years; in short, ac­cess to cap­i­tal won’t like­ly be a con­straint. Plen­ty of ven­ture and crossover firms have re­loaded with fresh funds, and large un­con­ven­tion­al gen­er­al­ist as­set man­agers re­main keen on in­vest­ing more in­to the promise of biotech, both pri­vate and pub­lic.

Noubar Afeyan

Noubar Afeyan, founder and CEO of Flag­ship Pi­o­neer­ing:

I ex­pect in­vest­ments in­to pri­vate biotech com­pa­nies to in­crease sig­nif­i­cant­ly year over year due to the strong pipeline of prod­uct-plat­form com­pa­nies emerg­ing from in­no­va­tion ef­forts in acad­e­mia, ven­ture firms and oth­er sources. Al­so ex­pect phar­ma de­pen­dence on ex­ter­nal in­no­va­tion as a source of their prod­uct sup­ply to con­tin­ue in­creas­ing as they find new ways of part­ner­ing with firms like Flag­ship to cre­ate long-term sup­ply agree­ments for break­through prod­ucts. Sources of cap­i­tal fo­cus­ing on life sci­ence in­vest­ing are al­so in­creas­ing con­sid­er­ably for late stage and pub­lic in­vest­ment.

 

Sean Nolan and RA Session II

Less than 3 months af­ter launch, the AveX­is crew’s Taysha rais­es $95M Se­ries B. Is an IPO next?

The old AveXis team is moving quickly in Dallas.

Three months ago, they launched Taysha with $30 million in Series A funding and a pipeline of gene therapies out of UT Southwestern. Now, they’ve announced an oversubscribed $95 million Series B. And the biotech is declining all interview requests on the news, the kind of broad silence that can indicate an IPO is in the pipeline.

Biotechs, including those relatively fresh off launch, have been going public at a frenzy since the pandemic began. Investors have showed a willingness to put upwards of $200 million to companies that have yet to bring a drug into the clinic. Still, if Taysha were to go public in the near future, it would be perhaps the shortest path from launch to IPO in recent biotech memory.

Jan Hatzius (Photographer: Christopher Goodney/Bloomberg via Getty Images)

When will it end? Gold­man econ­o­mist gives late-stage vac­cines a good shot at tar­get­ing 'large shares' of the US by mid-2021 — but the down­side is daunt­ing

It took decades for hepatitis B research to deliver a slate of late-stage candidates capable of reining the disease in.

With Covid-19, the same timeline has devoured all of 5 months. And the outcome will influence the lives of billions of people and a multitrillion-dollar world economy.

Count the economists at Goldman Sachs as optimistic that at least one of these leading vaccines will stay on this furiously accelerated pace and get over the regulatory goal line before the end of this year, with a shot at several more near-term OKs. That in turn should lead to the production of billions of doses of vaccines that can create herd immunity in the US by the middle of next year, with Europe following a few months later.

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RA, No­var­tis back Gen­tiBio's seed round, plans to launch de­vel­op­ment of En­gTreg ther­a­pies

Boston, MA-based startup GentiBio landed a $20 million seed fund from three investors to dive into engineered regulatory T cell (EngTreg) development.

Marquee investors OrbiMed, Novartis Venture Fund and RA Capital Management have backed GentiBio’s mission to develop EngTregs for the treatment of autoimmune, alloimmune, autoinflammatory, and allergic diseases. Unlike other companies studying treatments using a patient’s own Tregs, GentiBio plans to make use of CD4+ immune cells, found in the blood.

UP­DAT­ED: No­vavax her­alds the lat­est pos­i­tive snap­shot of ear­ly-stage Covid-19 vac­cine — so why did its stock briefly crater?

High-flying Novavax $NVAX became the latest of the Covid-19 vaccine players to stake out a positive set of biomarker data from its early-stage look at its vaccine in humans.

Their adjuvanted Covid-19 vaccine was “well-tolerated and elicited robust antibody responses numerically superior to that seen in human convalescent sera,” the company noted. According to the biotech:

All subjects developed anti-spike IgG antibodies after a single dose of vaccine, many of them also developing wild-type virus neutralizing antibody responses, and after Dose 2, 100% of participants developed wild-type virus neutralizing antibody responses. Both anti-spike IgG and viral neutralization responses compared favorably to responses from patients with clinically significant COVID‑19 disease. Importantly, the IgG antibody response was highly correlated with neutralization titers, demonstrating that a significant proportion of antibodies were functional.

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Paul Laikind, ViaCyte CEO

Stem cell play­er Vi­a­Cyte ex­pands col­lab­o­ra­tion with Gore to de­vel­op sub­cu­ta­neous di­a­betes treat­ment

Longtime stem cell player ViaCyte has teamed up with a materials science company in an effort to solve immunosuppression challenges and advance its type 1 diabetes treatments.

Expanding on an existing collaboration, ViaCyte and W.L. Gore have agreed to combine the biotech’s PEC-Encap candidate with a Gore-produced membrane in what they hope will eliminate the need for immunosuppressive drugs. Such treatments have created foreign body responses in the past, and stamping these reactions out is the main goal, ViaCyte CEO Paul Laikind said.

My­ovant lands a fresh $200M loan as FDA mar­ket­ing de­ci­sion looms; Amarin goes it alone in Eu­rope

Myovant is getting ready to roll out its commercial operations to back relugolix, now under FDA review for prostate cancer.

The startup has added a fresh $200 million in support from Sumitomo Dainippon Pharma, which controls a majority of the stock $MYOV. Sumitomo is handing the cash over as a loan, bringing its total to $600 million. Myovant — which is gearing up for a showdown with AbbVie — has also filed an NDA to sell relugolix for uterine fibroids and recently posted positive late-stage data for endometriosis.

Stéphane Bancel, Moderna CEO (Steven Ferdman/Getty Images)

Mod­er­na CEO Stéphane Ban­cel out­lines a prospec­tive moth­er­lode of Covid-19 vac­cine rev­enue — will a back­lash fol­low?

Moderna shows no sign of slowing down, or turning charitable when it comes to pricing supplies of its Covid-19 vaccine.

One of the leaders in the Phase III race to get a Covid-19 vaccine across the finish line in record time, Moderna says it’s on track to complete enrollment in one of the most avidly watched studies in the world next month. And the biotech has already banked some $400 million in deposits for vaccine supply as it works through negotiations with countries around the world — as CEO Stéphane Bancel sets out to hire a commercial team.

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Ver­sant de­buts Ridge­line's start­up #4, armed with $30M and al­ter­na­tive TCR cell ther­a­pies for sol­id tu­mors

For all the iterations and advances in TCR therapies for cancer, any experimental treatments involving T cell receptors share one trait: By definition, they only recognize antigens presented as peptides on the major histocompatibility complex (MHC) on cells.

Versant reckons it’s time to expand the arsenal. With $30 million in initial funding, its Ridgeline Discovery Engine in Switzerland has been working on a non-peptidic approach that it says has tumor-agnostic potential, especially in solid tumors. They’ve named it Matterhorn, after a Swiss mountain as they did with the three other companies that have emerged from the Basel-based incubator.

Covid-19 roundup: J&J and BAR­DA agree to $1 bil­lion for 100 mil­lion dos­es; Plas­ma re­duces mor­tal­i­ty by 50% — re­ports

J&J has become the latest vaccine developer to agree to supply BARDA with doses of their Covid-19 vaccine, signing an agreement that will give the government 100 million doses in exchange for $1 billion in funding.

The agreement, similar to those signed by Novavax, Sanofi and AstraZeneca-Oxford, provides funding not only for individual doses but to help J&J ramp up manufacturing. Pfizer, by contrast, received $1.95 billion for the doses alone. Still, if one looked at each agreement as purchase amounts, J&J’s deal would be $10 per dose, slotting in between Novavax’s $16 per dose and AstraZeneca’s $4 per dose.

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