S&P ex­pects steady ero­sion in Big Phar­ma's cred­it pro­file in 2021 as new M&A deals roll in — but don't un­der­es­ti­mate their un­der­ly­ing strength

S&P Glob­al has tak­en a look at the dom­i­nant forces shap­ing the phar­ma mar­ket and come to the con­clu­sion that there will be more down­grades than up­grades in 2021 — the 8th straight year of steady de­cline.

But it’s not all bad news. Some things are look­ing up, and there’s still plen­ty of mon­ey to be made in an in­dus­try that en­joys a 30% to 40% prof­it mar­gin, once you fac­tor in steep R&D ex­pens­es.

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